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Solved 2025: FYUG Even Semester Exam, 2025 STATISTICS (2nd Semester) Course No.: STADSC-151


UNIT-I

Question 1(a) [2+2=4]

Define random variable with example. State the conditions for probability mass function (p.m.f.).

Definition: A random variable is a real-valued function defined on the sample space of a random experiment. It assigns a unique real number to every outcome in the sample space.

Example: In tossing two fair coins, if X denotes the number of heads, then X can take values 0, 1, or 2.

Conditions for p.m.f.: For a discrete random variable X with possible values x1, x2, ..., the function p(xi) is a p.m.f. if:

  • p(xi) >= 0 for all i (Non-negativity).
  • Sum over all i of p(xi) = 1 (Total probability is unity).
  • Question 1(b) [4]

    Define cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of a random variable for both discrete and continuous cases.

    The Cumulative Distribution Function F(x) is defined as the probability that the random variable X takes a value less than or equal to x: P(X <= x).

  • Discrete Case: F(x) = Sum of p(xi) for all xi <= x.
  • Continuous Case: F(x) = Integral from -infinity to x of f(t) dt, where f(t) is the p.d.f.
  • Question 1(c) [4]

    Define conditional probability density function and joint distribution function of a two-dimensional random variable.

    Joint Distribution Function: F(x, y) = P(X <= x, Y <= y). It represents the probability that X is less than or equal to x AND Y is less than or equal to y simultaneously.

    Conditional p.d.f.: The conditional p.d.f. of X given Y=y is defined as:

    f(x|y) = f(x, y) / f2(y), provided f2(y) > 0

    Where f(x,y) is the joint p.d.f. and f2(y) is the marginal p.d.f. of Y.

    UNIT-II

    Question 2(a)(i) [10]

    The joint p.d.f. of X and Y is f(x,y) = 4xy exp(-(x^2 + y^2)); x >= 0, y >= 0. Find marginal p.d.f. of X and Y. Are X and Y independent? Find conditional distributions.

    Step 1: Marginal p.d.f. of X
    Integrate f(x,y) with respect to y from 0 to infinity:
    f1(x) = Integral[4xy exp(-x^2) exp(-y^2) dy]
    f1(x) = 4x exp(-x^2) * Integral[y exp(-y^2) dy]
    Let y^2 = t, 2y dy = dt. Integral becomes 1/2 * Integral[exp(-t) dt] = 1/2.
    f1(x) = 2x exp(-x^2); x >= 0

    Step 2: Marginal p.d.f. of Y
    By symmetry, f2(y) is calculated similarly:
    f2(y) = 2y exp(-y^2); y >= 0

    Step 3: Independence
    X and Y are independent if f(x,y) = f1(x) * f2(y).
    (2x exp(-x^2)) * (2y exp(-y^2)) = 4xy exp(-(x^2+y^2)) = f(x,y).
    Conclusion: X and Y are independent.

    Step 4: Conditional Distributions


    f(x|y) = f(x,y)/f2(y) = f1(x) = 2x exp(-x^2)
    f(y|x) = f(x,y)/f1(x) = f2(y) = 2y exp(-y^2)

    Question 2(b)(i) [6]

    Given c.d.f. F(x), find c.d.f. and p.d.f. of (1) Y=X+a and (2) Y=X^2.

    (1) Y = X + a:
    Fy(y) = P(Y <= y) = P(X + a <= y) = P(X <= y - a) = Fx(y - a).
    p.d.f. gy(y) = d/dy [Fx(y - a)] = fx(y - a).

    (2) Y = X^2:
    Fy(y) = P(X^2 <= y) = P(-sqrt(y) <= X <= sqrt(y)) = Fx(sqrt(y)) - Fx(-sqrt(y)).
    p.d.f. gy(y) = d/dy [Fx(sqrt(y)) - Fx(-sqrt(y))] = [fx(sqrt(y)) + fx(-sqrt(y))] / [2 * sqrt(y)].

    UNIT-III

    Question 3(a) [4]

    Define mathematical expectation. Prove E[X - E(X)] = 0.

    Definition: Expectation E(X) is the weighted average of all possible values of X, where weights are probabilities. E(X) = Sum[x * p(x)] for discrete or Integral[x * f(x) dx] for continuous.

    Proof:
    E[X - E(X)] = E(X) - E[E(X)]
    Since E(X) is a constant (say k), E(k) = k.
    E[X - E(X)] = E(X) - E(X) = 0.

    Question 4(a)(i) [5]

    Define Variance. Prove V(aX + bY) = a^2 V(X) + b^2 V(Y) + 2ab Cov(X,Y).

    Definition: V(X) = E[(X - E(X))^2] = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2.

    Proof:
    Let E(X) = ux and E(Y) = uy.
    E(aX + bY) = a*ux + b*uy.
    V(aX + bY) = E[((aX + bY) - (a*ux + b*uy))^2]
    = E[(a(X-ux) + b(Y-uy))^2]
    = E[a^2(X-ux)^2 + b^2(Y-uy)^2 + 2ab(X-ux)(Y-uy)]
    = a^2 E(X-ux)^2 + b^2 E(Y-uy)^2 + 2ab E[(X-ux)(Y-uy)]
    V(aX + bY) = a^2 V(X) + b^2 V(Y) + 2ab Cov(X,Y)

    If independent: Cov(X,Y) = 0, so V(aX + bY) = a^2 V(X) + b^2 V(Y).

    UNIT-IV

    Question 7(b) [4]

    Derive Poisson distribution from Binomial distribution.

    Poisson is a limiting case of Binomial distribution under conditions:

  • n (number of trials) is very large (n -> infinity).
  • p (probability of success) is very small (p -> 0).
  • np = lambda (a constant).
  • P(X=x) = nCx * p^x * q^(n-x). Substituting p = lambda/n and taking limits results in:
    P(X=x) = [exp(-lambda) * lambda^x] / x!

    Question 8(a)(i) [4]

    Obtain m.g.f. of Binomial distribution and find mean/variance.

    Mx(t) = E[exp(tX)] = Sum[exp(tx) * nCx * p^x * q^(n-x)]
    Mx(t) = Sum[nCx * (p*exp(t))^x * q^(n-x)]
    Mx(t) = (q + p*exp(t))^n

    Mean: d/dt [Mx(t)] at t=0 = n(q + p*exp(t))^(n-1) * p*exp(t) = np.

    Variance: E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2 = [n(n-1)p^2 + np] - (np)^2 = npq.

    UNIT-V

    Question 10(a)(i) [3]

    Obtain the median of normal distribution.

    For a Normal distribution N(u, sigma^2), the p.d.f. is symmetric about x = u.


    By definition of median (M): Integral from -infinity to M of f(x) dx = 0.5.
    Since the total area under the symmetric curve is 1 and it is divided equally at the mean (u), we have:
    Median = Mean = Mode = u

    Exam Focus Enhancements

    Exam Tips

  • Always state the range/limits of the random variable (e.g., x > 0) to avoid losing marks.
  • In independence proofs, clearly show that the joint p.d.f. factorizes into marginals.
  • Common Mistakes

  • Forgetting to check if f2(y) > 0 before defining conditional density.
  • Confusing p.m.f. (discrete) with p.d.f. (continuous).

    Important Formulas List

  • Binomial Mean: np; Variance: npq
  • Poisson p.m.f.: [e^-λ * λ^x] / x!
  • Expectation Property: E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b
  • Answer Presentation Strategy

    Use step-by-step integration for marginal p.d.f. questions. Draw the bell curve placeholder when discussing Normal distribution symmetry to illustrate the Median = Mean concept.


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