Unit 1: Economic Development since Independence

ECODSC-152: Issues in Indian Economy | 2nd Semester Notes

1. Major features of the economy since independence

When India gained independence in 1947, it inherited an economy shattered by colonial exploitation. The post-independence development journey has been transformative, though marked by significant challenges.

Features at Independence (1947):

  • Stagnant and Agrarian Economy: The economy was overwhelmingly rural, with over 75% of the population dependent on agriculture. Growth was extremely low (less than 1% per year) and per capita income was stagnant.
  • Low Productivity: Agriculture was characterized by subsistence farming, fragmented land holdings, and reliance on monsoons. Productivity (output per hectare) was among the lowest in the world.
  • De-industrialization: The British systematically dismantled India's world-famous handicraft and textile industries to create a market for their own manufactured goods.
  • Poor Infrastructure: While railways and ports were built, their primary purpose was to transport raw materials out of India and move troops, not to foster internal economic integration.
  • Rampant Poverty and Inequality: A vast majority of the population lived in extreme poverty, while a small class of landlords (Zamindars) and princes controlled most of the wealth.

Major Features of Development Since Independence:

  • Planned Economy Model (1950-1991): India adopted a **mixed economy** framework, relying on Five-Year Plans. This model prioritized the **public sector** ("commanding heights") for developing heavy industry and infrastructure (e.g., steel plants, dams).
  • Import-Substituting Industrialization (ISI): The strategy was to produce goods domestically (like cars, machinery) rather than importing them. This was enforced through high tariffs and strict import licensing ("License-Permit Raj").
  • Shift to a Market Economy (1991-Present): Following a severe economic crisis in 1991, India launched the **New Economic Policy (NEP)**. This was based on **Liberalization, Privatization, and Globalization (LPG)**, dismantling the "License Raj" and opening the economy to foreign trade and investment.
  • Structural Transformation: The contribution of agriculture to GDP has fallen from over 50% to around 15%, while the **services sector** (IT, banking, transport) has boomed to become the largest contributor (over 55% of GDP).
Structural Transformation vs. Employment:

A common mistake is to assume employment has shifted just like GDP. While the *services* sector leads GDP, the *agriculture* sector still employs the largest share of the population (around 45-50%). This mismatch is a core problem, indicating low productivity and disguised unemployment in agriculture.

2. Demographic trends and issues

Demography is the study of population trends. India's demographic journey is central to its economic story.

Key Demographic Trends:

  • Theory of Demographic Transition: India is in the middle of this transition.
    • Stage 1 (Pre-1921): High Birth Rate (HBR) and High Death Rate (HDR). Population growth was low and unstable. 1921 is called the "Year of Great Divide".
    • Stage 2 (1921-1971): HDR fell sharply due to better public health (control of cholera, smallpox) and food security. HBR remained high. This led to a **"population explosion"**.
    • Stage 3 (1971-Present): HBR has started to fall due to rising education, urbanization, and family planning. Population growth is slowing but still positive.
  • High Population Growth: India's population grew from ~361 million in 1951 to ~1.21 billion in 2011 (and is now the world's largest).
  • Falling Fertility Rate: The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) has now fallen to 2.0, which is *below* the replacement level (2.1). This indicates the population will eventually stabilize.
  • Rising Life Expectancy: Life expectancy at birth has risen dramatically from ~32 years in 1947 to around 70 years today.

Key Demographic Issues:

  • Demographic Dividend: This is the *economic opportunity* created by having a larger share of the population in the working-age group (15-59) compared to the non-working (dependent) group (0-14 and 60+).
  • The Challenge ("Demographic Burden"): This "dividend" is not automatic. If the large working-age population is not educated, healthy, and cannot find productive jobs, it becomes a "demographic burden" or "disaster," leading to high unemployment and social unrest.
  • Adverse Sex Ratio: A persistent social issue, with the number of females per 1000 males being unnaturally low in many states due to son preference and female foeticide.

3. Education

Education is a key component of human capital, essential for long-term economic development.

Status and Progress:

  • Literacy Rate: Has improved significantly from a mere 16% in 1951 to 74.04% in 2011.
  • Enrollment: Gross Enrollment Ratios (GER) have improved at all levels (primary, secondary, higher education).
  • Gender Parity: Gaps between male and female literacy and enrollment have narrowed considerably, though they still exist.

Persistent Challenges:

  • Poor Quality: The biggest challenge is not enrollment but *learning outcomes*. Reports (like the ASER report) consistently show that many children in primary school cannot do basic reading or arithmetic.
  • High Dropout Rates: Many students, especially from poor backgrounds and female students, drop out before completing their schooling.
  • Infrastructure Gaps: Lack of trained teachers, poor teacher-pupil ratios, and inadequate facilities (toilets, electricity) remain problems, especially in rural areas.
  • Skill Mismatch: Higher education often produces graduates who lack the skills required by the modern job market, leading to "educated unemployment."
Major Education Policies:
  • Right to Education (RTE) Act, 2009: Made free and compulsory education a fundamental right for all children aged 6 to 14.
  • Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan (SSA): A flagship program for universalizing elementary education.
  • National Education Policy (NEP) 2020: The latest policy framework aiming for major structural reforms in both school and higher education.

4. Health

Health is the other pillar of human capital. A healthy workforce is a productive workforce.

Status and Progress:

  • Eradication of Diseases: Major successes in eradicating smallpox and largely controlling diseases like polio, malaria, and tuberculosis.
  • Improved Health Indicators:
    • Life Expectancy: Increased from ~32 to ~70 years.
    • Infant Mortality Rate (IMR): Drastically reduced from over 145 per 1000 live births in 1951 to around 27 in 2023.
    • Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR): Also significantly reduced.

Persistent Challenges:

  • Low Public Spending: India's public expenditure on health (as a % of GDP) has been one of the lowest in the world, leading to a weak public health system.
  • High Out-of-Pocket Expenditure (OOPE): Because the public system is weak, most people are forced to use expensive private hospitals, paying from their own savings. A single health emergency can push a family into poverty.
  • Rural-Urban Divide: A severe "urban bias" exists, with most doctors, specialists, and quality hospitals concentrated in cities, leaving rural areas underserved.
  • Communicable vs. Non-Communicable Diseases: India faces a "dual disease burden." It still battles communicable diseases (like TB) while also seeing a massive rise in non-communicable or "lifestyle" diseases (like diabetes, heart disease, and cancer).
Major Health Policies:
  • National Health Mission (NHM): (Originally NRHM) Aims to strengthen the public health system, especially in rural areas, by funding Primary Health Centres (PHCs) and ASHAs (Accredited Social Health Activists).
  • Ayushman Bharat (2018): A two-pronged scheme: 1. **Health and Wellness Centres:** Upgrading PHCs. 2. **PM-JAY:** A health insurance scheme providing a 5-lakh rupee cover per family per year for secondary and tertiary care.

5. Malnutrition

Malnutrition is a critical issue that directly links poverty, health, and education. It's not just a lack of food (under-nutrition) but also a lack of the *right* food (micronutrient deficiency).

Definition: Malnutrition refers to deficiencies, excesses, or imbalances in a person's intake of energy and/or nutrients.

Key Indicators and Challenges:

  • Stunting: Low height for age. This indicates chronic (long-term) malnutrition and has irreversible effects on cognitive development (brain function). India has one of the highest rates of stunting in the world.
  • Wasting: Low weight for height. This indicates acute (short-term) severe malnutrition, often caused by recent illness or food shortage.
  • Underweight: Low weight for age (a combination of stunting and wasting).
  • Anemia: A widespread micronutrient deficiency (iron) that affects a majority of adolescent girls and pregnant women, leading to low productivity and risks during childbirth.
Food Security vs. Nutrition Security:

India has achieved food security (we produce enough calories to feed everyone, thanks to the Green Revolution). However, we have failed to achieve nutrition security. A diet heavy in rice or wheat can fill the stomach but may lack essential proteins, vitamins, and minerals, leading to malnutrition.

Policies to Tackle Malnutrition:
  • Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS): A flagship program run through "Anganwadi" centres. It provides supplementary nutrition, health check-ups, and pre-school education to children under 6 and to pregnant/lactating mothers.
  • Mid-Day Meal Scheme (MDMS): (Now PM-POSHAN) Provides a hot cooked meal to all government school children to improve nutrition and school attendance.
  • Public Distribution System (PDS): (Now under the National Food Security Act, 2013) Provides subsidized food grains (rice, wheat) to poor households.